SUMMARY AND
OUTLOOK
GROWTH
• Private wealth has increased and
changed the nature of real estate
investment since the US financial
crisis took hold.
• It has been an important driver of
global real estate markets, and it is
set to become more important.
• Cross-border real estate
investment by the ultra-wealthy is
currently lower than that from
corporate and institutional buyers,
but has been growing in recent
years – and is set to grow further.
• Private wealth is different to
corporate and institutional money
in terms of target returns, sectors,
jurisdictions and time scales. This
means that it can out-compete
conventional funding sources on
certain propositions.
• In recent years there has been a
tendency for UHNWIs to focus on
trophy properties, including more
residential and niche propositions.
• We anticipate that some UHNWIs
will start to move away from the
“safe-haven” store of wealth
investments, intended primarily
for capital growth and wealth
preservation and instead begin
seeking more productive, long-term
income-producing positions.
NEW MARKETS
• Real estate investment has been
focused on cities rather than whole
countries. This is true for both
private and corporate money.
• These now fully invested in cities
like HK, NY, Singapore and London
may extend their search to other
types of asset in future. This would
benefit real estate markets.
• Only the US cities with long global
reach: New York, Miami and Los
Angeles will see significant cross-
border activity. The main recipients
of private cross-border investment
are European markets rather than
US ones, but Chicago, San
Francisco, Seattle, Washington and
Boston should be on a “watch” list.
• The US market is large and
mature but overwhelmingly
domestic. Its growth prospects will
be diminished because American
UHNWIs will grow more slowly than
those of Asia.
• European real estate markets are
the largest and attracted global
inward investment, relative to size.
Europe is poised to attract more
private property investors who will
be increasingly familiar with the
region’s strong offering in city
properties and well-known
residential destinations.
OPPORTUNITY
• Private wealth may perhaps
be seen as more adventurous
geographically and across sectors
and maybe less adverse to
development risk – given the right
returns. It has ideal characteristics
for the development of new markets
and new products.
• Most future growth in UHNWI
numbers will come from Asia.
Asians are more likely than any
other group to invest in real
estate, to have made their money
from it.
• The “retreat” and leisure-
destination markets are still young
and very small in Asia, but could be
set to explode as UHNWI buyers
increase and mature.
• UHNWIs will be competing more
directly with institutional investors in
future but, being more opportunistic
and less constrained by formal
criteria, are more likely to become
pathfinders and pioneers than
corporate investors.
• We anticipate that in the future a
growing proportion of large real
estate transactions and cross-
border transactions will involve
privately wealthy investors and
become more diverse in nature
as a result.
www.savills.co.uk/research 21
SAVILLS WORLD RESEARCH 2014
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